SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Larne had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Linfield |
27.55% ( -0.01) | 24.53% ( -0.01) | 47.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.03) | 46.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.03) | 69.07% ( -0.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.01) | 30.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.01) | 67.13% ( -0) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( 0.02) | 19.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( 0.03) | 51.55% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 47.93% |
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