SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Gallen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | St Gallen |
26.61% ( 0.03) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 51.41% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0.01) | 35.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.18% ( -0.01) | 57.82% ( 0.01) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( 0.02) | 25.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( 0.02) | 60.7% ( -0.01) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( -0.01) | 14.18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.12% ( -0.02) | 41.88% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.41% |
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