SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
60.7% ( -0.73) | 21.29% ( 0.41) | 18.01% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( -1.31) | 43.28% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( -1.31) | 65.68% ( 1.31) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.2% ( -0.64) | 13.8% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.87% ( -1.28) | 41.13% ( 1.28) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -0.41) | 37.64% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.58% ( -0.4) | 74.42% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.99% Total : 60.69% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.01% |
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