SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
64.18% ( -1.82) | 21.19% ( 0.72) | 14.62% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.74) | 48.89% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( -0.67) | 70.98% ( 0.67) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.8) | 14.53% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.43% ( -1.56) | 42.57% ( 1.56) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.65% ( 1.19) | 45.34% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.79% ( 0.92) | 81.2% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.33% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.62% |
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