Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Larne had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%).
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
49.6% ( -0.3) | 25.02% ( 0.22) | 25.37% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( -0.82) | 50.5% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.57% ( -0.73) | 72.43% ( 0.73) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.62% ( -0.45) | 20.38% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.21% ( -0.72) | 52.79% ( 0.72) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.45% ( -0.38) | 34.54% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% ( -0.4) | 71.26% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.37% |
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