Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
33.37% ( -1.36) | 24.57% ( -0.07) | 42.06% ( 1.43) |
Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( 0.01) | 44.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.4% ( 0.01) | 66.6% ( -0) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.79) | 25.65% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -1.09) | 60.55% ( 1.09) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% ( 0.68) | 21.1% ( -0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% ( 1.04) | 53.93% ( -1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Linfield |
2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.06% |
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