SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
74.04% ( -0.32) | 16.58% ( 0.18) | 9.37% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.06% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( -0.46) | 41.96% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.46) | 64.36% ( 0.46) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.2% ( -0.2) | 9.79% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.45% ( -0.45) | 32.54% ( 0.45) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.04) | 50.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.31% ( -0.03) | 84.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 74.02% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 16.58% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.37% |
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