SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
37.26% ( -0) | 24.78% ( -0) | 37.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( 0.02) | 44.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.01) | 66.98% ( -0.01) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 0) | 23.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 0.01) | 57.75% ( -0) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( 0.01) | 23.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( 0.02) | 57.21% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.97% |
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