SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Crusaders |
17.37% ( -0.37) | 20.79% ( -0.04) | 61.84% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.46) | 42.07% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.46) | 64.48% ( 0.47) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.71) | 37.65% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( -0.7) | 74.43% ( 0.7) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0.02) | 13.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.32% ( -0.05) | 39.68% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.37% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.79% | 0-2 @ 10.18% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.91% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.51% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 61.82% |
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