SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
61.14% ( 0.08) | 20.21% ( 0.05) | 18.65% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.81% ( -0.43) | 37.18% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.47) | 59.39% ( 0.47) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.23% ( -0.11) | 11.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.05% ( -0.24) | 36.95% ( 0.24) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( -0.39) | 33.32% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( -0.43) | 69.94% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 4.27% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.21% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 18.65% |
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