Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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