SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Newry City AFC |
53.81% ( 0.37) | 21.81% ( -0.1) | 24.39% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.91% ( 0.21) | 37.09% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.71% ( 0.23) | 59.29% ( -0.23) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( 0.19) | 13.88% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.71% ( 0.37) | 41.29% ( -0.37) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( -0.09) | 28.12% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.12) | 63.79% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.81% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 24.39% |
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