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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
5 - 1
Loughgall

Cooper (10'), Clarke (55'), McKee (57', 88'), McBrien (71')
Cooper (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cavalcante (45+3')
Cavalcante (45+3'), Hoey (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Linfield
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 9.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
74.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 16.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 9.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)41.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)9.61% (0.011100000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)32.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)84.35%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 74.13%
    Loughgall 9.41%
    Draw 16.46%
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
2-0 @ 13.06%
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2%
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 74.13%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 16.46%
0-1 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 2.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 9.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Linfield
Friday, October 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-2 Linfield
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 6-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Crusaders
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Newry City AFC
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-4 Carrick
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 1-1 Loughgall
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-0 Larne
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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