Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
52.68% ( -0.09) | 23.37% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.09) | 44.77% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.09) | 67.13% ( -0.09) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% | 16.98% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.91% ( 0) | 47.09% ( -0) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( 0.13) | 32.64% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.8% ( 0.14) | 69.19% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.95% |
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