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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Newry City AFC |
45.42% ( -0.11) | 25.39% ( 0.06) | 29.19% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.22) | 49.54% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% ( -0.2) | 71.57% ( 0.19) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.14) | 21.8% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -0.22) | 55.01% ( 0.22) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.07) | 31.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.09) | 67.37% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.42% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.19% |
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