SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Linfield |
12.46% ( 0.2) | 19.23% ( 0.08) | 68.3% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.12) | 45.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.11) | 67.61% ( -0.11) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.4) | 46.43% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.95% ( 0.31) | 82.05% ( -0.31) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.79% ( -0.05) | 12.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.13% ( -0.09) | 37.87% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 12.46% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.23% | 0-2 @ 12.53% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.79% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 68.29% |
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