SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.44%) and 2-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Loughgall in this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
38.37% ( 0.84) | 23.35% ( -0.14) | 38.28% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 64% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.4% ( 0.73) | 37.6% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.78) | 59.83% ( -0.78) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.02% ( 0.73) | 19.98% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.84% ( 1.15) | 52.16% ( -1.15) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.01) | 20.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.77% ( -0.02) | 52.22% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.37% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 38.28% |
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