SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 66.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 13.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.26%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
13.39% ( 0.11) | 20.09% ( 0.08) | 66.52% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.09) | 46.83% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.09) | 69.08% ( 0.08) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.12) | 45.91% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% ( 0.09) | 81.65% ( -0.09) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( -0.09) | 13.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.11% ( -0.17) | 39.89% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.39% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.09% | 0-2 @ 12.42% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.39% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 66.51% |
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