SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 85.18%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 4.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
85.18% ( 0.01) | 10.49% ( -0) | 4.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.2% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.02) | 33.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.07% ( -0.03) | 54.92% ( 0.03) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.53% ( -0) | 5.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.64% ( -0.01) | 21.36% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.47% ( -0.04) | 58.52% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.12% ( -0.02) | 89.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 9.51% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.45% Total : 85.17% | 1-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0)2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 10.49% | 0-1 @ 1.71% 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 4.33% |
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