SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
32.6% ( -0.26) | 23.6% ( -0.06) | 43.79% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( 0.22) | 39.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.73% ( 0.23) | 62.27% ( -0.23) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.04) | 24.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( -0.06) | 58.32% ( 0.06) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.22) | 18.55% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( 0.37) | 49.81% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.55% Total : 43.79% |
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