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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
3 - 0
Glenavon

Millar (14', 41'), Bonis (74')
Hamilton (13'), A (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Birney (10')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Larne
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-1 Glenavon
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawGlenavon
62.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 21.4% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 16.49% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)46.33% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)68.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)14.36% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)42.22% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)41.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.2% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)77.8% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Larne 62.1%
    Glenavon 16.49%
    Draw 21.4%
LarneDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.22% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 62.1%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.49%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Larne
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Larne
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-1 Larne
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-1 Glenavon
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-1 Glenavon
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-6 Linfield
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 4-2 Crusaders
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Portadown
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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