Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
62.11% ( -0.05) | 21.4% ( 0.03) | 16.49% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.67% ( -0.08) | 46.33% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.38% ( -0.08) | 68.62% ( 0.08) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( -0.04) | 14.36% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% ( -0.08) | 42.22% ( 0.08) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.72% ( -0.02) | 41.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.2% ( -0.02) | 77.8% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.1% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.49% |
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