Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
17.55% ( 0.24)	20.73% ( 0.19)	61.72% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.48% (

-0.46)

41.52% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.08% (

-0.47)

63.91% (

0.47)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0)

37.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1%

73.9% (

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06% (

-0.26)

12.94% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.6% (

-0.55)

39.4% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 17.55%

Crusaders 61.72%

Draw 20.73%

Glenavon	Draw	Crusaders
2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.55%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.73%	0-2 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.72%