SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
32.81% ( 0.35) | 23.24% ( -0.13) | 43.95% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 63.28% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.79) | 38.09% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.64% ( 0.83) | 60.36% ( -0.82) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.58) | 23.06% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.83) | 56.89% ( -0.83) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.24% ( 0.23) | 17.76% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.54% ( 0.39) | 48.46% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 43.95% |
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