SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
70.01% ( 0.3) | 18.26% ( -0.28) | 11.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( 1.19) | 42.82% ( -1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( 1.18) | 65.22% ( -1.18) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0.41) | 11.04% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.63% ( 0.9) | 35.37% ( -0.9) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.9% ( 0.73) | 46.1% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.2% ( 0.56) | 81.8% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.76% Total : 69.99% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.26% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.73% |
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