SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Larne | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Carrick Rangers | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Larne | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Ballymena United |
52.49% ( -0.3) | 24.61% ( 0.01) | 22.9% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 50.77% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% ( 0.25) | 51% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.14% ( 0.22) | 72.86% ( -0.22) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( -0.02) | 19.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( -0.03) | 51.21% ( 0.04) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( 0.41) | 37.02% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.19% ( 0.4) | 73.8% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.48% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.9% |
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