Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Larne
27.2% ( 0.15)	26.66% ( 0.09)	46.14% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.37% (

-0.25)

55.63% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.21% (

-0.21)

76.79% (

0.21)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

-0.01)

35.79% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

-0.01)

72.57% (

0.01)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-0.22)

24.07% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.65% (

-0.32)

58.36% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 27.2%

Larne 46.14%

Draw 26.65%

Glenavon	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.14%