Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.24) 
