SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
54.78% ( 0.32) | 24.75% ( -0.12) | 20.47% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.93% ( 0.25) | 54.07% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( 0.21) | 75.49% ( -0.21) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( 0.23) | 19.68% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.32% ( 0.36) | 51.68% ( -0.36) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.81% ( -0.06) | 41.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.27% ( -0.05) | 77.73% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
| 1-0 @ 13.17% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.47% |
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