Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Ajax |
31.69% | 21.16% (![]() | 47.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 70.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.83% (![]() | 28.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.04% (![]() | 48.95% (![]() |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% (![]() | 18.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% (![]() | 50.38% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% (![]() | 12.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% (![]() | 39.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.9% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 8.28% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 8.52% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.8% 3-4 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.4% Total : 47.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: