SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 60.79%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.17% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
21.17% ( 0.24) | 18.04% ( 0.04) | 60.79% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 72.04% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.57% ( 0.15) | 22.43% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.52% ( 0.2) | 41.48% ( -0.2) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( 0.28) | 22.09% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( 0.41) | 55.45% ( -0.41) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.47% ( -0.01) | 7.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.01% ( -0.03) | 26.99% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.17% | 1-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)3-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 60.79% |
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