Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Under-23s had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.06%) and 3-2 (4.61%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
