SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.47%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
44.3% ( 10.96) | 21.67% ( -0.96) | 34.04% ( -10) |
| Both teams to score 69.83% ( 4.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.27% ( 5.1) | 29.73% ( -5.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.13% ( 5.94) | 50.87% ( -5.93) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 6.91) | 14.33% ( -6.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( 11.97) | 42.17% ( -11.96) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( -2.06) | 18.49% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% ( -3.6) | 49.7% ( 3.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 1.56)1-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.81)3-2 @ 4.61% ( 1.08)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 1.08)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 1.14)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.87)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.74)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.44)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.56)Other @ 3.63% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.84)3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.47)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -1.48) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -1.83)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -1.18)2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -1.92)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -1.3)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.66)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.17)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.67% Total : 34.04% |
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