SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
66.41% ( 0.04) | 16.99% ( -0.03) | 16.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.17% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.09% ( 0.1) | 24.9% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.14) | 44.79% ( -0.14) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.88% ( 0.03) | 7.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.07% ( 0.09) | 25.93% ( -0.09) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.06) | 27.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.07) | 63.24% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 4.07% Total : 66.41% | 1-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 16.6% |
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