SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
50.62% ( 0.84) | 20.75% ( -0.32) | 28.63% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 70.24% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72% ( 1.26) | 27.99% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.26% ( 1.55) | 48.74% ( -1.55) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.3% ( 0.69) | 11.7% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.19% ( 1.45) | 36.81% ( -1.45) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.36) | 20.45% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( 0.57) | 52.9% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.75% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.63% |
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