Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Birmingham City Under-23s in this match.
