Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 73.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 11.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Birmingham City Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
