Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-23s would win this match.
