Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.92%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
