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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
33.38% ( -0.19) | 22.54% ( -0.04) | 44.07% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 66.16% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.59% ( 0.13) | 34.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.14) | 56.32% ( -0.14) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( -0.04) | 21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( -0.06) | 53.78% ( 0.06) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.75% ( 0.14) | 16.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.23% ( 0.24) | 45.76% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.77% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 44.07% |
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