SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 1-0 (4.89%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 21.58% ( -0.01) | 35.32% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 70.6% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.07) | 28.89% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.09) | 49.84% ( -0.09) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( 0.01) | 14.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.66% ( 0.02) | 42.34% ( -0.03) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.06) | 17.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( 0.1) | 48.01% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.6% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.32% |
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