SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
67.36% ( -0.11) | 16.6% ( 0.04) | 16.04% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 67.47% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.05) | 24.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.06) | 43.64% ( 0.07) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.28% ( -0.03) | 6.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.14% ( -0.09) | 24.87% ( 0.09) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.05) | 27.67% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 0.06) | 63.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.46% 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.42% Total : 67.36% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.6% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 16.04% |
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