SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
49.35% ( 0.49) | 21.83% ( -0.06) | 28.82% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 66.22% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.01) | 33.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.97% ( 0.01) | 55.02% ( -0.01) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.16) | 13.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.55% ( 0.32) | 41.45% ( -0.33) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.26) | 23.03% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -0.38) | 56.85% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.35% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.82% |
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