SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
35.29% ( 0.59) | 22.28% ( -0.09) | 42.43% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 67.78% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.62) | 32.54% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0.72) | 54.19% ( -0.73) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.57) | 19.19% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.13% ( 0.94) | 50.86% ( -0.94) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 0.06) | 16.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( 0.11) | 45.55% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.74% Total : 42.43% |
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