Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
