Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
