Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
