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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
BL

Brentford
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Jensen (7'), Mbeumo (90+3')
Jensen (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (30'), Brooks (77')
Aarons (51'), Neto (64'), Iraola (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
49.51% (-4.122 -4.12) 24.25% (0.848 0.85) 26.24% (3.274 3.27)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)46.55% (0.659 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.621 -0.62)68.82% (0.622 0.62)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (-1.81 -1.81)18.85% (1.811 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (-3.112 -3.11)50.31% (3.113 3.11)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (2.406 2.41)31.72% (-2.405 -2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (2.675 2.68)68.14% (-2.674 -2.67)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 49.51%
    Bournemouth 26.24%
    Draw 24.24%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.781 -0.78)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.458 -0.46)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.74 -0.74)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.337 -0.34)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.225 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.24%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.614 0.61)
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.63 0.63)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.581 0.58)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.215 0.22)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.304 0.3)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Brentford (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-3 Brentford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Lille
Saturday, August 5 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Sunday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 2-3 Bournemouth
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, August 5 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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