Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
