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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
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Brentford
2 - 0
Bournemouth

Toney (39' pen.), Jensen (75')
Raya (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
55.93% (0.211 0.21) 23.16% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 20.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)69.48% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)16.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.125 0.13)46.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.177 -0.18)36.85% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.174 -0.17)73.63% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 55.92%
    Bournemouth 20.91%
    Draw 23.16%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 West Ham
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brentford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Spurs
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 17 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 12 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League


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