Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
55.93% ( 0.21) | 23.16% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( -0.01) | 47.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( -0.01) | 69.48% ( 0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( 0.07) | 16.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( 0.13) | 46.62% ( -0.13) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% ( -0.18) | 36.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( -0.17) | 73.63% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.91% |
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