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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Aston Villa |
33.33% ( -0.3) | 22.58% ( -0.05) | 44.09% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 65.97% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.13) | 34.63% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.42% ( 0.15) | 56.58% ( -0.15) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( -0.1) | 21.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( -0.15) | 54% ( 0.15) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 0.18) | 16.33% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.07% ( 0.33) | 45.92% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.09% |
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