SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
45.41% ( 0.04) | 23.3% | 31.29% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61% ( -0.02) | 39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.03) | 61.32% ( 0.02) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( 0.01) | 17.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( 0.01) | 48.07% ( -0.02) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( -0.05) | 58.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.41% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.29% |
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